The "AI 2027" Scenario: How realistic is it? (garymarcus.substack.com)

Screenshot of garymarcus.substack.com: The "AI 2027" Scenario: How realistic is it?

First screen, captured 1 year ago.

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AI 2027 (ai-2027.com)

789 points by Tenoke 1 year ago | 518 comments

AI 2027 is a scenario by Daniel Kokotajlo, Scott Alexander and others forecasting the impact of superhuman AI over the next decade, with interactive capability charts.

ai-forecasting superintelligence agi ai-safety

Screenshot of garymarcus.substack.com: Predictions from the METR AI scaling graph are based on a flawed premise

Predictions from the METR AI scaling graph are based on a flawed premise (garymarcus.substack.com)

43 points by nsoonhui 1 year ago | 20 comments

Screenshot of garymarcus.substack.com: OpenAI probably can't make ends meet. That's where you come in

OpenAI probably can't make ends meet. That's where you come in (garymarcus.substack.com)

88 points by treadump 11 months ago | 52 comments

Screenshot of garymarcus.substack.com: Sam Altman's pants are on fire

Sam Altman's pants are on fire (garymarcus.substack.com)

119 points by toomuchtodo 11 months ago | 49 comments

Screenshot of ai-2027.com: AI 2027 (2025)

AI 2027 (2025)(ai-2027.com)

39 points by gafferongames 1 month ago | 38 comments

Screenshot of blog.coredump.cx: How much of HN is AI?

How much of HN is AI?(blog.coredump.cx)

203 points by surprisetalk 2 months ago | 199 comments

Looks similar

AI 2027(ai-2027.com)

Predictions from the METR AI scaling graph are based on a flawed premise(garymarcus.substack.com)

OpenAI probably can't make ends meet. That's where you come in(garymarcus.substack.com)

Sam Altman's pants are on fire(garymarcus.substack.com)