Where's the "Intelligence Explosion"?(noahpinion.blog)
27 points by anon373839 | 8 comments
A Noahpinion guest essay by Ramez Naam offering a skeptical take on recursive self-improvement and the idea of an AI intelligence explosion.
#ai-forecasting on Hacker News
4 stories tagged ai-forecasting, newest first.
AI 2040: Plan A(ai-2040.com)
362 points by kschaul | 448 comments
AI 2040 "Plan A" is a scenario by the AI 2027 authors describing a positive path in which humanity delays superintelligence until 2040 and makes AI research public.
The Singularity will occur on a Tuesday(campedersen.com)
1309 points by ecto | 705 comments
A blog post by engineer Cam Pedersen titled "The Singularity will Occur on a Tuesday," dated February 10, 2026.
AI 2027(ai-2027.com)
789 points by Tenoke | 518 comments
AI 2027 is a scenario by Daniel Kokotajlo, Scott Alexander and others forecasting the impact of superhuman AI over the next decade, with interactive capability charts.