#betting on Hacker News

2 stories tagged betting, newest first.

Screenshot of blog.scottstevenson.net: Pattern matching beats narrative reasoning

Pattern matching beats narrative reasoning (blog.scottstevenson.net)

36 points by tosh 8 days ago | 20 comments

Scott Stevenson's Substack essay arguing that good bets come from pattern matching rather than narrative reasoning and can't be easily explained in words.

decision-making pattern-matching betting reasoning

Screenshot of github.com: Nothing Ever Happens: Polymarket bot that always buys No on non-sports markets

Nothing Ever Happens: Polymarket bot that always buys No on non-sports markets (github.com)

456 points by m-hodges 6 months ago | 251 comments

GitHub repository for a bot that automatically buys "No" shares on non-sports Polymarket prediction markets, released under CC0.

polymarket prediction-markets trading-bot betting

#betting on Hacker News

Pattern matching beats narrative reasoning(blog.scottstevenson.net)

Nothing Ever Happens: Polymarket bot that always buys No on non-sports markets(github.com)

Pattern matching beats narrative reasoning (blog.scottstevenson.net)

Nothing Ever Happens: Polymarket bot that always buys No on non-sports markets (github.com)