14 stories tagged prediction-markets, newest first.
80 points by paimapi | 53 comments
A Readergrev investigation into Polymarket's program paying esports accounts to quote-retweet its posts while making the promotion appear organic.
4 points by mirabilisagent | 2 comments
GitHub repository documenting an AI agent trading a $20 Kalshi prediction market account, including a model of Kalshi's liquidity incentive rewards.
49 points by momentmaker | 39 comments
NPR report on a man banned from sports betting sites after bankruptcy who turned to the prediction market Kalshi to keep gambling.
12 points by ripe | 6 comments
A New York Times Magazine piece arguing that gambling logic underpins Silicon Valley products, including prediction markets; the capture shows a bot-block page.
56 points by adam | 33 comments
A Cultivate Labs blog post applying CIA-style analysis and forecasting to college football; the page returned a Heroku application error.
325 points by ibobev | 407 comments
Stephen Diehl blog post criticizing the state of crypto in 2026, citing a presidential memecoin, prediction markets on military actions, and shadow dollar systems.
415 points by Vaslo | 298 comments
WSJ article reporting that Polymarket has paid creators to post deceptive social media videos promoting its prediction market bets.
1037 points by thm | 477 comments
Reuters article on Spain blocking Polymarket and Kalshi for lacking gambling licences; the capture shows a captcha verification page instead of the article.
707 points by ortusdux | 218 comments
NPR news article reporting that Minnesota has become the first U.S. state to ban prediction markets.
618 points by nkrisc | 663 comments
CNN report on a US special forces soldier arrested for allegedly using classified information about the Maduro raid to win about $400,000 on prediction market bets.
456 points by m-hodges | 251 comments
GitHub repository for a bot that automatically buys "No" shares on non-sports Polymarket prediction markets, released under CC0.
826 points by mmcclure | 576 comments
Derek Thompson essay arguing that the spread of gambling and prediction markets in America will cause worse social harm than people expect.
1509 points by defly | 948 comments
Times of Israel piece by a journalist describing death threats from Polymarket bettors demanding he rewrite an Iran missile story; page showed a Cloudflare check.
472 points by krustyburger | 454 comments
An Atlantic article, syndicated on MSN, by Saahil Desai arguing that America is sliding into a Polymarket-driven world where news becomes about betting.